Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 30, 2007

Good news from an Iowa poll

Strategic Vision conducted a three day poll that is certainly worth noting.

Below are the results of a three-day poll in the state of Iowa. Results are based on telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican cacus goers and 600 likely Democratic cacus goers, aged 18+, and conducted January 19-21, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

1. If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were held today between, Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote? (Republicans Only; Names Rotated)
Rudy Giuliani 25%
John McCain 21%
Newt Gingrich 13%
Mitt Romney 8%
Chuck Hagel 7%
Tommy Thompson 2%
Tom Tancredo 2%
Sam Brownback 2%
Mike Huckabee 1%
George Pataki 1%
Jim Gilmore 1%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 16%

Chuck Hagel has been moving up in the polls in Iowa in the last month or two. That is good news for draft Hagel movement. A strong 5th place finish (and with no organization on the ground), just 1% behind Romney, and with a large gap ahead of the 6th place person is excellent at this stage.

Friday, January 19, 2007

New polling data from multiple states

There is new polling data out from a number of states, and much of it is quite encouraging with regard to Senator Hagel. The charts are from Race 4 2008.

Missouri
McCain 31%
Giuliani 18%
Gingrich 14%
Brownback 5%
Hagel 3%
Romney 2%
Thompson 2%
Huckabee 1%
Gilmore, Hunter, Pataki 0%
Undecided 24%

Florida
Giuliani 30%
Gingrich 16%
McCain 15%
Romney 2%
Hagel 2%
Brownback 1%
Huckabee 1%
Pataki 1%
Gilmore, Hunter, Thompson 0%
Undecided 32%

Pennsylvania
Giuliani 35%
McCain 25%
Hagel 4%
Brownback 2%
Romney 1%
Gilmore 1%
Huckabee 1%
Hunter, Pataki, Thompson 0%
Undecided 21%

Illinois
Giuliani 33%
McCain 24%
Romney 12%
Gingrich 8%
Brownback 4%
Thompson 4%
Hagel 3%
Hunter 1%
Gilmore, Huckabee, Pataki 0%
Undecided 11%

New Mexico
Giuliani 38%
McCain 20%
Gingrich 9%
Romney 7%
Hagel 6%
Brownback 4%
Pataki 1%
Gilmore, Huckabee, Hunter, Thompson 0%
Undecided 15%

California
Giuliani 33%
Gingrich 19%
McCain 18%
Hagel 5%
Romney 3%
Hunter 1%
Brownback, Gilmore, Huckabee, Pataki, Thompson 0%
Undecided 22%

North Carolina
Giuliani 34%
McCain 26%
Gingrich 11%
Huckabee 4%
Romney 2%
Hagel 2%
Gilmore 1%
Brownback, Hunter, Pataki, Thompson 0%
Undecided 19%

He pops up in 3rd or 4th in a couple states, and that's great news. It's also interesting to see how well he is doing in comparison to Romney who has been VERY active as of late.

Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Poll in four early primary states

The American Research Group has conducted polls in four early primary states on the 2008 Presidential primary race. It is encouraging to see Chuck Hagel polling so well in Iowa, clearly ahead of the third tier candidates. The results are as follows (copied from The Next Prez):

Republicans IA NH SC NV
McCain 26 29 35 25
Giuliani 28 25 28 31
Gingrich 18 14 15 22
Romney 6 9 5 4
Hagel 6 2 - -
Huckabee 1 1 1 -
Pataki - 2 - -
Brownback 1 - - -
Gilmore - 1 - -
Hunter - - - -
Thompson - - - -
Undecided 14 17 16 18